Error message

  • Deprecated function: The each() function is deprecated. This message will be suppressed on further calls in FieldCollectionItemEntity->fetchHostDetails() (line 313 of /home1/chicagu6/public_html/sites/all/modules/field_collection/field_collection.entity.inc).
  • Notice: Trying to access array offset on value of type int in element_children() (line 6543 of /home1/chicagu6/public_html/includes/common.inc).
  • Notice: Trying to access array offset on value of type int in element_children() (line 6543 of /home1/chicagu6/public_html/includes/common.inc).
  • Notice: Trying to access array offset on value of type int in element_children() (line 6543 of /home1/chicagu6/public_html/includes/common.inc).
  • Notice: Trying to access array offset on value of type int in element_children() (line 6543 of /home1/chicagu6/public_html/includes/common.inc).
  • Notice: Trying to access array offset on value of type int in element_children() (line 6543 of /home1/chicagu6/public_html/includes/common.inc).
  • Deprecated function: implode(): Passing glue string after array is deprecated. Swap the parameters in drupal_get_feeds() (line 394 of /home1/chicagu6/public_html/includes/common.inc).

Spoilers in 2016

Originally Published: 

jasonlmorrow.com

July 26, 2016

The way spoiling an election is supposed to work looks like this:

Hillary Clinton is the obvious choice for liberals and progressives to vote for. If there are enough Democratic votes to ensure a Clinton win, but a big enough percentage choose to vote for a third party candidate or a write-in, then she won't get that win.

This view depends on seeing Hillary Clinton as the automatic, "of course" choice. It depends on her already having had enough votes and then losing them to a third party. But she never really had those votes to begin with.

You're not asking people to stay true to the Democratic Party. You're asking them to switch allegiances to your party, because you fear she doesn't have enough backing to win. Well, Bernie supporters asked you to switch to their candidate during the primaries and people chose not to. Jill Stein supporters are asking people to consider switching to their party too. The truth is that there are several candidates out there and none of them or their parties own your vote.

Here's a different way to view spoiling in 2016:

Polls show that Clinton is dangerously close to Trump. In some polls she's losing to him. But there's another candidate who all the polls say will crush him. The party chooses the candidate most likely to lose to Donald Trump. Why isn't that considered spoiling? The superdelegates could easily win this for Bernie by voting for him. If they want to ensure a Democratic victory over Trump, this is what they will do. If they don't, then either they're not as worried about spoilers as everyone else is, or they find it more important to vote for their preferred candidate than to defeat Trump.

OMG, they're #HillaryOrBust.

It's the same argument. Bernie and Jill supporters are supposed to look at the numbers, see that their candidate doesn't have enough to support to win, and strategically throw their vote behind the dominate candidate. But why doesn't it work the other way? If it's obvious to the superdelegates that their candidate doesn't have enough support to win, then they should throw their support behind the candidate who can win.

Why must some people take the votes of others into account but others do not? If you says it's a numbers game and that Clinton is the dominant vote-getter and everyone should fall behind the leader, well, you're assuming everyone who isn't a Republican is a Democrat. Take Independents into account. There are more Independents in the country than there are Clinton supporters, so it's not fair to ask all of them to change to your favored candidate. If you're worried about Trump, then you change.

Or if you think Clinton does have enough support to win, then don't worry about others who might be voting for someone else. She'll win anyway.

Hillary supporters can raise the legitimate claim that she won fairly, and that the superdelegates shouldn't take away her candidacy to give to the second-place guy. But that's exactly why the superdelegates exist. They serve no other function. The party wants that safety measure. They've never used it before, but if ever they needed to, this is the election to do it. With their votes they could ensure party unity. If they refuse to, and say that it's instead the responsibility of Bernie and Jill supporters to change their votes, well, that's just saying it's their candidate or bust. That's not strategic use of their votes. Everyone knew going into this that she was the second most hated presidential candidate of all time. Everyone knew that she was the most despised Democratic candidate of all time. Voting for her in the primaries just may have been spoiling the general election

Why is it only the powerless who are asked to change their votes, and not the powerful? Why is it seen as easier for millions of Americans to be persuaded to change their votes, rather than a few hundred politicians?

I've posted a lot about my distaste for Hillary on social media lately. It's only partly because I'm passionate about real change. It's more because people who don't want to fall in line behind the Democratic Party have been getting vilified. I feel the need to defend myself and my position.

If you want Hillary to be president, I don't judge you. Vote for her. That's your vision of the country's future and you have the right to vote for it. If you don't want her to be president, but you're picking her because you're terrified of Trump, I don't judge you. I'm terrified of him too. Vote for her.

The problem with majority vote is that we all have competing visions for our country, and whomever wins will be imposing that vision on others. Third party supporters have a vision that involves, if not winning this time, then building enough percentage to get public financing and get into public debates. Of pushing the Democratic Party to the left again. I'm sorry if that interferes with your vision but that's how majority vote works.

But third parties can win. The Democratic Party was a third party the first time they won. If everyone who is only voting for Hillary to prevent Trump got together, they could win it for Bernie Sanders or Jill Stein.

If your candidate doesn't have the numbers to win, it's not my responsibility to give them to her. My candidate probably doesn't either and I won't berate you if choose not to switch your vote, even though the addition of your numbers could make mine win. I wish you'd change your vote, but I have no grudge against you if you don't. But please extend me that same courtesy. We have a vision too.

2 Comments:
  1. anon

    I was straight up bullied yesterday on Facebook because I dared express my concerns that Hillary Clinton would, once in office, start a nuclear war with Russia. A person I do not know attempted to start a flame war with me, demanding I provide evidence detailing Hillary's violent acts, as if her record as Secretary of State and her wake of destruction in Syria, Honduras, and Libya were not enough.

    I blocked this person within about 45 seconds of understanding what I was dealing with. I do not parley with trolls.

    I have noticed the DNC becoming more and more hysterical as they realize that Hillary, even with her formidable cheating machine that was able to overcome Sanders, may not be enough to overcome Trump. With this hysteria comes waves of Democrat troll dupes who honestly believe internet bullying and insults will change the minds of Sanders and Stein voters. These small trolls reflect the mindset of their heavier-hitting puppet masters, who cannot seem to summon more than a brief convulsion of forced enthusiasm for Clinton.

    Hillary trolls don't take time to absorb what their candidate has actually done -- if Hillary brought the entire northern hemisphere to the brink of nuclear extinction, it wouldn't even be slightly out of character for her. Just look at her previous record. Trump may have failed businesses, but Hillary leaves a trail of failed STATES. Millions dead or displaced. Put her in the White House, millions dead could easily turn into billions.

    No thanks, I'll vote for Stein and I'll pretend I believe that voting matters at all, which I don't, by the way.

  1. anon

    I was in an hours-long argument (can't call it a debate, as only one of us retained an open mind and listened) last night with someone I didn't feel comfortable blocking. I have been de-friended by others for my support of Bernie - before I started denouncing Hillary. Unfortunately, this is going to continue til the election is over. ugh. That's 4 more months of this.

    I really don't get how anyone can believe she is the lesser of two evils. She is the bigger evil, imo. Trump doesn't have the political savvy to pull off most of what he says he will do, and if all those terrified of his presidency would vote out his potential support (all the conservatives) in Congress, no one has to worry about him. HRC has the support (in the current Congress) of not only the Dems, but the moderate Reps and the war hawks, too. Regardless of who gets the WH, Congress should be voted out. 88% of the seats are up for grabs this election. If all of the Indies and Greens vote for the most progressive candidates in each race, we have a snowball's chance of taking back our government without violence.

Leave a comment!

Filtered HTML

  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <blockquote> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd> <h1> <h2> <h3> <h4> <h5> <h6>
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.

Plain text

  • No HTML tags allowed.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.